Pemodelan Jalur Evakuasi dari Ancaman Gunungapi Kelud Kabupaten Blitar Menggunakan SAFEVolcano

Triana, Eva and , Jumadi S.Si, M.Sc, Ph.D (2020) Pemodelan Jalur Evakuasi dari Ancaman Gunungapi Kelud Kabupaten Blitar Menggunakan SAFEVolcano. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta.

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Abstract

Kelud volcano eruption recorded more than 30 eruptions. The impact of volcano ashfall also extends to cover areas of East Java, Central Java and parts of West Java. One of the last eruptions occurred in 2014 which resulted in 32.846 fatalities at Blitar District. Therefore, as one of the capacity building in terms of disaster mitigation, an evacuation route is needed to facilitate the process of evacuating victims to safe places along with the allocation. Determination of evacuation routes based on SAFEVolcano modeling and visualizing the distribution capacity of the evacuation sites. The models used several parameters, there are hazard scenario, crater, population at risk, road network, evacuation site and DEM. Based on SAFEVolcano modeling, it makes 2 possible hazard scenarios for the Kelud volcano eruption there are scenario I and II. Scenario II has a radius closer to the Kelud crater than scenario I. Scenario I is a disaster prone area II in the form of an area that is potentially affected by hot clouds, lava flows, throwing rocks and/or lava avalanches, heavy ash rain, hot mud rain, lava flows, and poisonous gases. Modeling scenario I produces 2 affected sub-districts that have a total population at risk of 499 people. Scenario I produces 2 routes to 2 evacuation locations. Scenario II is in the form of disaster prone area I which is an area that has the potential to be affected by lahars, falling material in the form of ash rain, and/or water with high acidity. If the eruption gets bigger, this area has the potential to be affected by the expansion of hot clouds and falling material in the form of heavy ash rain and throwing rocks. Modeling scenario II resulted in 12 affected sub-districts with a total population at risk of 94.759 people who were allocated to 42 evacuation locations using 53 routes. The evacuation route and the allocation will be different in each scenario due to the dynamic hazard scenario.

Item Type:	Karya ilmiah (Skripsi)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Hazard Scenario, SAFEVolcano, Evacuation Route
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GB Physical geography
Divisions:	Fakultas Geografi > Geografi Fakultas Geografi > Geografi Fakultas Geografi > Geografi
Depositing User:	EVA TRIANA
Date Deposited:	11 Nov 2020 01:50
Last Modified:	11 Nov 2020 01:59
URI:	http://eprints.ums.ac.id/id/eprint/85622

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