Evaluasi Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah (RTRW) Tahun 2011-2031 Berasarkan Prediksi Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Menggunakan Model Cellular Automata-Markov Di Kabupaten Sleman

Hardini, Linggar Esty and -, Jumadi, S.Si.,M.Sc.,Ph.D (2019) Evaluasi Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah (RTRW) Tahun 2011-2031 Berasarkan Prediksi Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Menggunakan Model Cellular Automata-Markov Di Kabupaten Sleman. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta.

	PDF (HALAMAN DEPAN) HALAMAN DEPAN.pdf Download (6MB)
	PDF (BAB I) BAB I.pdf Download (6MB)
	PDF (BAB II) BAB II.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (6MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (BAB III) BAB III.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (6MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (BAB IV) BAB IV.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (6MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (BAB V) BAB V.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (6MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (DAFTAR PUSTAKA) DATAR PUSTAKA.pdf Download (6MB)
	PDF (LAMPIRAN) LAMPIRAN.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (19MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (SURAT PERNYATAAN PUBLIKASI) SURAT PERNYATAAN PUBLIKASI ILMIAH.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (65kB) | Request a copy
	PDF (Lampiran) LAMPIRAN-16 linggar.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (12MB) | Request a copy
	PDF (NASKAH PUBLIKASI) NASKAH PUBLIKASI.pdf Download (1MB)

Abstract

In past years, the development of Sleman District has been considered rapid as evidenced by the emergence of built up areas including expansion of the university areas, shopping malls, and housing. Along with the increasing in the total population, university students and workers from other regions coming to this district, the landuse in Sleman District has started to shift. Landuse changes need to be controlled by predicting landuse using the CA-Markov model. CA-Markov modeling has dynamic properties that integrate the dimensions of space and time, where the occurrence of events is determined by events that directly precede them and can be used to predict the next event. The accuracy of the CA-Markov concept can be determined by validation and expressed in the Kappa coefficient value (≥ 0.70). This CA-Markov concept has been developed since the 1940s in the field of computers by Von Neumann and Ulam. In this concept it is assumed that pixels are the beginning of the mathematical concept. when a pixel changes, its new status is only affected by its old status and the neighbor status. This resaerch was conducted to predict the land use in 2031 using the Cellular Automata-Makov model, evaluate the use of land in 2031 in relation to RTRW or city plan, and create a scenario of the direction for land use control in 2031 for disaster-prone areas. Based on the prediction of land use in Sleman District in 2031, Kappa coefficient was obtained at 0.7399, implying that the suitability of spatial area and distribution reached 73.99% which is considred good. The results of the prediction also showed that in 2031, the land use would be dominated by building area which was predicted to reach 43.53% out of the total area. The evaluation of land use preduction in 2031 based on RTRW method showed that as large as 40.137,39 ha land would be used according to the RTRW, while 17.411,00 ha would not be used accordingly. The improper use of land might be due to the shift in the use of 4.659,18 ha of rice field into buildings.

Item Type:	Karya ilmiah (Skripsi)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Penggunaan Lahan, CA-Markov, Citra Landsat
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General)
Divisions:	Fakultas Geografi > Geografi Fakultas Geografi > Geografi Fakultas Geografi > Geografi
Depositing User:	LINGGAR ESTY HARDINI
Date Deposited:	16 Aug 2019 06:09
Last Modified:	16 Aug 2019 06:09
URI:	http://eprints.ums.ac.id/id/eprint/76159

Actions (login required)

View Item